Wait...
Search Global Export Import Trade Data
Recent Searches: No Recent Searches

A historic oil price collapse, with worries headed into 2021.


Date: 30-12-2020
Subject: A historic oil price collapse, with worries headed into 2021
By Stephanie Kelly and Devika Krishna Kumar

NEW YORK: This year was like no other for oil prices.

Even as global prices end the year at about $51 a barrel, near the average for 2015-2017, it masks a year of volatility. In April, US crude plunged deep into negative territory and Brent dropped below $20 per barrel, slammed by the Covid-19 pandemic and a price war between oil giants Saudi Arabia and Russia.

The remainder of 2020 was spent recovering from that drop as the pandemic destroyed fuel demand around the world. While the short-lived decline of US oil futures below negative-$40 a barrel is not likely to be repeated in 2021, new lockdowns and a phased rollout of vaccines to treat the virus will restrain demand next year, and perhaps beyond.

"We really haven't seen anything like this - not in the financial crisis, not after 9/11," said Peter McNally, global sector lead for industrials, materials and energy at research firm Third Bridge. "The impact on demand was remarkable and swift."

Fossil-fuel demand in coming years could remain softer even after the pandemic as countries seek to limit emissions to slow climate change. Major oil companies, such as BP Plc and Total SE, published forecasts that include scenarios where global oil demand may have peaked in 2019.

World oil and liquid fuels production fell in 2020 to 94.25 million barrels per day (bpd) from 100.61 million bpd in 2019, and output is expected to recover only to 97.42 million bpd next year, the Energy Information Administration said.

"Every cycle feels like the worst when you're going through it, but this one has been a doozy," said John Roby, chief executive of Dallas, Texas-based oil producer Teal Natural Resources LLC.

Demand Slackens
As coronavirus cases spread, governments imposed lockdowns, keeping residents indoors and off the roads. Consumption of world crude and liquid fuels fell to 92.4 million bpd for the year, a 9 per cent drop from 101.2 million bpd in 2019, EIA said.

The changing landscape poses a threat to refiners. About 1.5 million bpd of processing capacity has been taken off the market, Morgan Stanley said.

Worldwide crude distillation capacity is expected to keep rising, according to GlobalData, but falling demand and weak margins for gasoline, diesel and other fuels has prompted refineries in Asia and North America to close or curtail output, including several facilities along the US Gulf Coast.

Shutdowns in more developed economies "increase refineries' exposure to the highly ‎competitive product export market," BP said in its outlook, released in September. ‎

Volatility climbs
The next several months are likely to be volatile as investors weigh tepid demand against another potential spike in oil supply from producers, including the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies.

"Markets have been tumultuous and disorderly over the last 12 months with long-lasting implications, as we begin to form new contours of normality towards a post-virus equilibrium," Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group analysts said.

The Cboe Crude Oil ETF Volatility Index surged to a record 517.19 in April. 

Source:-economictimes.indiatimes.com

Get Sample Now

Which service(s) are you interested in?
 Export Data
 Import Data
 Both
 Buyers
 Suppliers
 Both
OR
 Exim Help
+


What is New?

Date: 28-02-2025
Notification No. 12/2025-CUSTOMS (N.T.)
Fixation of Tariff Value of Edible Oils, Brass Scrap, Areca Nut, Gold and Silver- Reg.

Date: 14-02-2025
Notification No. 10/2025-CUSTOMS (N.T.)
Fixation of Tariff Value of Edible Oils, Brass Scrap, Areca Nut, Gold and Silver- Reg.

Date: 13-02-2025
Notification No. 14/2025-Customs
Seeks to amend Notification 11/2021-Customs dated 01.02.2021 to amend AIDC rate on Bourbon whiskey

Date: 11-02-2025
NOTIFICATION No. 09/2025–Central Tax
Seeks to bring rules 2, 8, 24, 27, 32, 37, 38 of the CGST (Amendment) Rules, 2024 in to force

Date: 03-02-2025
[F. No. CBIC-190354/236/2021-TRU]
Corrigendum to Notification No. 50 of 2024 Customs, dated the 30th December, 2024.

Date: 01-02-2025
Notification No. 13/2025-Customs
Seeks to further amend notification No. 153/94-Customs dated the 13 th July, 1994.

Date: 01-02-2025
Notification No. 12/2025-Customs
Seeks to further amend notification No. 19/2019 dated 06 th July 2019.

Date: 01-02-2025
Notification No. 11/2025 – Customs
Seeks to further amend notification No. 25/2002-Customs, dated the 1st March, 2002 so as to add capital goods to the already existing list of capital goods exempted from basic customs duty for manufacture of lithium-ion battery of mobile phones and electrically operated vehicles.

Date: 01-02-2025
Notification No. 09/2025-Customs
Seeks to further amend notification No. 16/2017-Customs, dated the 20 th April, 2017 so to exempt certain drugs for supply under Patient Assistance Programme run by specified pharmaceutical companies.

Date: 01-02-2025
Notification No. 07/2025-Customs
Seeks to further amend notification No. 11/2018-Customs dated 02 th February, 2018 so as to exempt specified goods from the whole of levy of Social Welfare Surcharge.



Exim Guru Copyright © 1999-2025 Exim Guru. All Rights Reserved.
The information presented on the site is believed to be accurate. However, InfodriveIndia takes no legal responsibilities for the validity of the information.
Please read our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy before you use this Export Import Data Directory.

EximGuru.com

C/o InfodriveIndia Pvt Ltd
F-19, Pocket F, Okhla Phase-I
Okhla Industrial Area
New Delhi - 110020, India
Phone : 011 - 40703001