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Soaring cotton prices to make recovery difficult.


Date: 30-11-2009
Subject: Soaring cotton prices to make recovery difficult
The domestic textile industry took a big hit during the global financial crisis. The decline in exports and contraction in domestic demand resulted in sharply lower revenues and operating margins. Though the global economic recovery since the first quarter of the current financial year has raised hopes, the Indian textile industry is now facing the heat from soaring cotton prices.

The spot price of benchmark Shankar cotton is up 15% since March this year, with the month of November seeing the maximum increase. Cotton prices are expected to rule firm in the coming months, as incremental domestic demand is outpacing incremental supply. Not surprisingly, cotton traders expect a further tightening as the cotton harvest in all key-growing areas of country is likely to be significantly below par this year. While in the north zone the crop has been hit by poor monsoon; in the western zone it took a beating from the Phyan cyclone, which spoiled standing crops. In the South, the crop was damaged by late monsoon floods.

Rising prices have begun to hit wholesale prices of manufactured cotton textiles, which were up by 4% during April-October this year. The textile manufacturers are lobbying the government to suspend the registration of export contracts till February. But the government has declined to put any such restriction on exports at this juncture, which will add to the woes of the textile industry.

“Since the domestic demand for apparels is returning to its normal level, most of the textile units are operating at full capacity,” says Shishir Jaipuria, chairman of Confederation of Indian Textile Industry (CITI). The Cotton Aviary Board has estimated a 9% increase in the total demand for raw cotton by domestic mills during 2009-10. “The demand is not only from domestic cotton mills but also from outside, especially from China, and this is pushing up domestic prices of cotton,” says Kishore Narne, head of commodities with Anand Rathi Financial Services.

Source : The Economic Times


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